BCS Program Ratings (Jan. 1, 2000, through 2009-10 season)

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SelectionSunday

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My updated power rankings of all 73 BCS programs, beginning with data from Jan. 1, 2000, through this past season. The following 7 criteria are used:

(1) Average RPI Ranking
(2) Record vs. NCAA Qualifiers
(3) NCAA Tournament Winning Percentage
(4) NCAA Tournament Appearances
(5) Final 4 Appearances
(6) National Runners-Up
(7) National Championships

The intent is to give value to the regular season (RPI & record vs. NCAA qualifiers mostly based on regular-season performance), but with more emphasis placed on getting to and then advancing forward in the NCAA Tournament.

Through 2009-10 Season -- 10.5 years of data
1. Michigan State (20)
2. Duke (23)
3. Kansas (26)
4. Florida (33)
5. North Carolina (45)
6. Connecticut (58.5)
7. Arizona (69)
8. Syracuse (71)
9. UCLA (76)
10. Illinois (76.5)
11. Maryland (84)
12. Texas (87)
13. Wisconsin (94)
14. Kentucky (104)
15. Oklahoma (115)
16. Ohio State (119)
17. Pitt (126)
18. Louisville (128)
19. Villanova (137)
20. Oklahoma State (146)
21. Indiana (168)
22. Georgetown (168)
23. Tennessee (175)
24. Georgia Tech (178)
25. Stanford (178)
26. Marquette (179)
27. Wake Forest (199)
28. Purdue (199)
29. West Virginia (204)
30. LSU (205)
31. Missouri (213)
32. Cincinnati (220)
33. Boston College (232)
34. Notre Dame (240)
35. Mississippi State (247)
36. USC (255)
37. Washington (257)
38. Alabama (271)
39. Cal (275)
40. Vanderbilt (279)
41. Oregon (284)
42. NC State (289)
43. Texas A&M (303)
44. Iowa State (323)
45. Arkansas (328)
46. Miami-Florida (331)
47. Kansas State (331)
48. Texas Tech (332)
49. Seton Hall (334)
50. Iowa (349)
51. Ole Miss (356)
52. Auburn (358)
53. Georgia (364)
54. Baylor (379)
55. GOPHERS (381)
56. Clemson (383)
57. Washington State (384)
58. Virginia (386)
59. Arizona State (389)
60. Penn State (410)
61. Florida State (417)
62. St. John’s (422)
63. Providence (423)
64. Michigan (425)
65. DePaul (431)
66. Virginia Tech (435)
67. South Carolina (440)
68. Nebraska (468)
69. Colorado (478)
70. Rutgers (486)
71. Northwestern (494)
72. South Florida (503)
73. Oregon State (511)

Program on the Rise: Baylor (+16)
Program(s) on the Bigggest Decline: Virginia & South Carolina (-15)
Gophers from Previous Season: +3

The Big Ten
1. Michigan State (moves to top spot after being #2 behind Kansas through 2008-09 season)
10. Illinois
13. Wisconsin
16. Ohio State
21. Indiana
28. Purdue (made biggest jump in 2009-10 among Big Ten programs)
50. Iowa
55. GOPHERS
60. Penn State
64. Michigan
71. Northwestern

Gophers for Each Criteria
Average RPI: 91.18 (#53)
Record vs. NCAA Qualifiers: 35-96, 26.7% (#56)
NCAA Tournament Winning Percentage: 0-3, 0% (tied for #63)
NCAA Appearances: 3 (tied for #46)
Final 4 Appearances: 0 (tied for #25)
National Runners-Up: 0 (tied for #10)
National Championships: 0 (tied for #9)

Leader for Each Criteria
Average RPI: Duke (4.36)
Record vs. NCAA Qualifiers: Duke (135-49, 73.4%)
NCAA Tournament Winning Percentage: North Carolina (26-6, 81.3%)
NCAA Appearances: Duke, Michigan State, Kansas, Texas & Wisconsin (11)
Final 4 Appearances: Michigan State (5)
National Runners-Up: Florida, Michigan State, Kansas, UCLA, Arizona, Illinois, Ohio State, Indiana & Georgia Tech (1)
National Championships: Florida, North Carolina & Duke (2)

Worst for Each Criteria
Average RPI: Oregon State (171.63)
Record vs. NCAA Qualifiers: Oregon State (13-100, 11.5%)
NCAA Tournament Winning Percentage: Clemson & GOPHERS (0-3, worst among the 68 programs that have made appearance)
NCAA Appearances: Nebraska, Rutgers, Northwestern, South Florida, Oregon State (0)

Top 2 Programs in Each Conference
ACC: Duke (#2), North Carolina (#5)
Big East: Connecticut (#6), Syracuse (#8)
Big Ten: Michigan State (#1), Illinois (#10)
Big 12: Kansas (#3), Texas (#12)
Pac 10: Arizona (#7), UCLA (#9)
SEC: Florida (#4), Kentucky (#14)

Worst 2 Programs in Each Conference
ACC: Florida State (#61), Virginia Tech (#66)
Big East: Rutgers (#70), South Florida (#72)
Big 10: Michigan (#64), Northwestern (#71)
Big 12: Nebraska (#68), Colorado (#69)
Pac 10: Arizona State (#59), Oregon State (#73)
SEC: Georgia (#53), South Carolina (#67)
 

But the Gophers have a great history, so I will choose to ignore these numbers...
 

gopherbadgerman said:
But the Gophers have a great history, so I will choose to ignore these numbers...
Click to expand...

Last I checked, history is defined as more than just the last 10 years. Especially when the majority of the last 10 years consisted of the Monson era and recovering from a big scandal. I'm honestly surprised we were even this high considering whats taken place over the last decade. If the data was there to look at a cumulative over the last 50 years I am pretty sure it would have different results.
 




1. Michigan State: The Spartans are coming off back-to-back Final Fours, and yet this will be Tom Izzo's best roster in recent years. The only notable loss is Raymar Morgan, and that might hurt. But the additions of Adreian Payne and Keith Appling to a core of Kalin Lucas, Durrell Summers, Draymond Green, Delvon Roe, Korie Lucious, Derrick Nix and Chris Allen will give Izzo options on his way to what should be a seventh Final Four in 13 seasons. Copied from a Gary Parrish Top 25 article. Now if my North High math serves me correctly, he has taken them there 6 out of the last 12 years. Wow! Moving up the ol' foodchain in the Big Ten ain't easy. Thank you Selection Sunday for putting this together.
 







koppco1 said:
Try backing up your supposed "fact" with actual facts. Until then it is an opinion of an ass.
Click to expand...

I shouldn't need to m'boy but since you insist....

Since 1960 (last 50 years)

Official B10 Championships: 2 or 4% of the time
Top 5 finishes in B10: 20 or 40% of the time
Last official NCAA Tournament win: 1990 or 20 years ago

NCAA berths by decade:

2010's: 1 for 1 100% good start
2000's: 2 for 10 20%
1990's: 1 for 10 10% sorry Ganglegate years don't count anymore
1980's: 2 for 10 20%
1970's: 1 for 10 10% sorry Musselman scandal doesn't count
1960's: 0 for 10 0%

Total: 7 for 51 or 13.7%

Because of scandals and violations some good teams were denied a post-season berth or the games were forfeited and erased from the record books altogether. Also, the NCAA Tournament prior to the 80's was far more difficult to get in to, but it was the same for everyone.
 

Saying ummm, probably not is stating a fact? Man, your arguments are good. Your interpretation skills are too. I'll give you a break though. We know you have limited contact with people outside this board. I don't think it could have been any more obvious that badgerman was being sarcastic. Good work on this thread...

Art Vandelay said:
For stating a fact?

Ok. Gotcha.
Click to expand...
 

underground629 said:
Saying ummm, probably not is stating a fact? Man, your arguments are good. Your interpretation skills are too. I'll give you a break though. We know you have limited contact with people outside this board. I don't think it could have been any more obvious that badgerman was being sarcastic. Good work on this thread...
Click to expand...

My response was towards koppco.
 




I get the feeling Gopherbadgerman is about as big of a fan of the Gophers as Bucky Badger.
 

SS... were you doing these ranking during Monson years? I would be curious to see where we ranked after Monson's final year to now. I realize we jumped 3 spots in your most recent ranking...but I'm guessing we moved a lot more during Tubby's 1st and 2nd years..
 

Rouser, it's usually pretty difficult to make a huge jump or huge drop, especially a huge drop.

Baylor is an example of a program that has made a big jump over the last 3 seasons, mainly because it's significantly improved its record vs. NCAA qualifiers and made a couple NCAA tourneys, including a big run (to Elite 8 this past season). Winning games in the NCAA Tournament is the quickest way to make a nice jump.

Regarding the Gophers, I don't save my historical data, I only update it every year, but I'm pretty certain the Gophers were #61 after Monson's last season, so Tubby has made some headway. We've made a couple NCAA tourneys, which has helped, but I think the biggest thing Tubby has done is make us much more competitive vs. quality competition (record vs. NCAA qualifiers), and our RPI has been consistently much stronger in Tubby's 3 years. Our next step, obviously, is winning games in the NCAA.
 

SelectionSunday said:
Rouser, it's usually pretty difficult to make a huge jump or huge drop, especially a huge drop.

Baylor is an example of a program that has made a big jump over the last 3 seasons, mainly because it's significantly improved its record vs. NCAA qualifiers and made a couple NCAA tourneys, including a big run (to Elite 8 this past season). Winning games in the NCAA Tournament is the quickest way to make a nice jump.

Regarding the Gophers, I don't save my historical data, I only update it every year, but I'm pretty certain the Gophers were #61 after Monson's last season, so Tubby has made some headway. We've made a couple NCAA tourneys, which has helped, but I think the biggest thing Tubby has done is make us much more competitive vs. quality competition (record vs. NCAA qualifiers), and our RPI has been consistently much stronger in Tubby's 3 years. Our next step, obviously, is winning games in the NCAA.
Click to expand...

All of that aside, the Gophers have a long way to go.

Mid-level Big 10 team in regular season. Competitive in postseason B10 tourney. 0-3 in postseason play (0-2 NCAA, 0-1 NIT).

NEED TO GET TO Top 3 in regular season. Win postseason B10T. And win 2+ games in NCAA.
 

"All of that aside, the Gophers have a long way to go."

No argument here.
 

NEED TO GET TO Top 3 in regular season. Win postseason B10T. And win 2+ games in NCAA.[/QUOTE]

FOT, do you think Tubby has the roster to achieve these goals this coming season?
 

Whenever this subject comes up I refer to this invaluable web site: http://ericthrall.com/gophers/basketball/

It helps me recall the incredible futility we have had in clearing that last hurdle each time we get to the precipice of really developing a winner. Starting with Mussy - who had the beginnings of a perenial power- then the scandal, Dutcher who was actually a very good recruiter- then the scandal, Haskins who I believe had us ready to be a regular top 20 team and had us breathing on a national championship trophy- and then the scandal. Then it even looked like Monson had it going with Rickert- then the disasterous Illinois game and the crazy departure of Pryzabilla killed his momentum. To think that we have not been able to get above 4th place since the vacated 1996-97 year is simply nuts.

I would love to know where this program would have been over these past 40 years had we simply been able to be scandal free over those years.
 

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