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Here's how I'd order them from most to least likely: 1) Iowa. Best chance by a fair bit, I think they're the weakest team of the 5 and have the worst home court advantage (Northwestern's crowds have gotten pretty good). Also they play on Thursday, so we have a 2 day longer turnaround which is a...

Couple things stand out to me about BYU's noncon schedule, as an illustration. 1) They have a home win over San Diego State; that one pretty much speaks for itself. 2) They annihilated teams like #135 Arizona State and #219 Fresno State on neutral courts, and #160 Wyoming and #184 Evansville at...

I'd bet on OSU before Michigan too, if either of them has a turnaround, although it's probably unlikely for both. Michigan's next six games are Wisconsin/at Nebraska/at Illinois/Michigan St/at Northwestern/Purdue. Hard to see them winning more than one of those (or even any of those). OSU has...

Purdue has gotten 30 FT attempts (NW has drawn 2) but has missed 13 of them.

Dagger shot by Ta'Lon Cooper to help seal South Carolina's win at #5 Tennessee.

I actually find Arizona State at least as interesting a prospect for Muss as here (since there's been talk in the past that his wife doesn't want to be anywhere cold) - they aren't going to have the same kind of expectations as Arkansas - they've only made the tournament 5 times in the last 17...

DePaul is a good appetizer, but the closer we get to March, the closer we get to full on coach rumor silly season! (Emphasis on rumor - this account is right sometimes but wrong plenty of times)

Just noticed North Dakota got a win at St. Thomas. State of Minnesota products BJ Omot, Eli King, and Tyree Ihenacho put up 22, 17, and 12 points for the Fighting Redacteds.

They also play in West Lafayette on Wednesday during the Gophers "bye" week. Not sure how this changes the calculus - they could get their letdown out of their system there, or hey, they could come out and beat Purdue again and be primed for a Chicago State-style letdown against us instead.

Go 'Cats (for tonight)! Keep Ohio State in Weakling Wednesday position!

I'd been thinking along these lines (how to incorporate FTs to rim/close 2s shot value) in my posts in the 3s thread the other day, but they were already getting TL;DR...I think generally I'd just count every 2 FT attempts as one shot equivalent and then add the points from the makes. I'm really...

Thanks! What I'd really like to be able to see, more detailed than the topline Close/Far/3s buckets, is breakdowns on how they're getting the rim 2s they get - I'm always interested in detail like that, but particularly with a team like this, much more efficient at the rim than anywhere else...

Even more specifically, they have to figure out how to emphasize getting the ball inside to Garcia and JOJ or Payne (when they're able to stay on the court). I'm sure you know this, but there's a considerable difference in value between 2s at the rim and all other 2s. Via T-Rank I looked at the...

Pikiell is going to be seeing Jamison Battle in his nightmares.

Gulf Coast knocked off #7 Atlantic in the Battle of Floridas.

Notre Dame (who got handled at home by Uncle Ed eleven days ago) now blowing out Virginia. Shrewsberry!

Klay Thompson played at Washington State from 2008-11, and one of Mychal's other sons Mychel played at Pepperdine from 2007-11. (They spent their entire childhoods on the West coast; the two of them were not really connected to the state of Minnesota at all other than their father being there 30...

Pretty sure Jack Wilson is also one of those 7. (Don't know when Parker Fox's birthdate is but he could be too)

Uncle Ed and his Citadel team up 16 on Shrewsberry's Notre Dame at the under-8 timeout. (Man, Notre Dame is bad. Their game against Louisville will be a real Sickos matchup)

Minnesota had 16 turnovers against Missouri and 18 turnovers against San Francisco.