All Things 2026 Transfer Portal Thread

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bga1 said:
In what way does it end run the constitution to have rules and guidelines for a league?
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The Constitution explicitly states that interstate commerce is regulated by Congress. Other leagues that are regulated by rules, CBAs, etc. are the result of legislation approved by Congress that allows it.
 


Scottsdale Gopher said:
The portal is officially open for business on Tuesday. I've been in search of a publicly available model that attempts to predict how successful a player would be in a different conference. I found this from Kalidrafts (a data scientist named Nick Kalinowski). Kalidrafts focuses on box plus minus (BPM) and the models the likelihood a player would provide poor, below average, average, above average, or excellent BPM in a Power 6 or Mid-Major conference. The model also shares the teams it considers a "best fit" for the player, though I believe these are naive to coaching changes.

As of today, the site is still showing last year's players. I've very hopeful it will update on Tuesday, but it was interesting to review how the model viewed the most significant Gopher transfers from this season:
  • Jaylen Crocker-Johnson - The model believed Crocker-Johnson would have an excellent BPM for a Power 6 team, Minnesota was not listed as a fit.
  • Bobby Durkin - The model believed Durkin would have an excellent BPM for a Power 6 team, Minnesota was not listed as a fit.
  • Cade Tyson - The model believed Tyson would have an average BPM for a Power 6 team, Minnesota was not listed as a fit.
  • Langston Reynolds - The model believed Reynolds would have an above average BPM for a Power 6 team and Minnesota was listed as one his best fits.
The limitations of a data-only model are visible here. Given Tyson's lack of playing time at UNC, it was difficult to predict he could transfer to another high-major and thrive. However, I would have been even more enthusiastic about Reynolds if I'd looked at this model when he committed. Reynolds was probably considered the 6th or 7th most important transfer by most on this board, but perhaps we should have expected more before the season began.

Hopefully Willis and Vaihola are back for another year. Kalidrafts predicted Willis would be have an average BPM for a Power 6 team and Vaihola would have an above average BPM.

I'd love to know if anyone is aware of other publicly available prediction models. I'm sure there will be commits and targets that we don't know much about, it'd be great to have a few neutral, data-based resources to reference.
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That’s fascinating. Would be interesting to know what data points they use for “fit.” The fact that so few were Gopher fits might say something about the previous system or lack there of.
 

matt said:
The Constitution explicitly states that interstate commerce is regulated by Congress. Other leagues that are regulated by rules, CBAs, etc. are the result of legislation approved by Congress that allows it.
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The executive order where enforceable is enacted and where not enforceable, is meant to set a path for Congress. The current Congress has codified 50 of Trump's EOs. I hope they do the same with this.
 



6'8" sophomore G stuck behind Dilione and Mingo on the depth chart. 39% 3 point shooter.
 







I assume it will be an eventful afternoon for undecided Gophers—still no news on Shinholster, Vaihola, or Willis.

The portal is only open for two weeks starting tomorrow, so I assume we will know much more about our roster makeup in the next 24 hours.
 


As if Blackwell had no role in the loss. He played well but if the problem is everyone else doesn't that also imply he might not be good enough to carry the team.

Go chase your dreams. Just a strange thing to say publicly.
 





GopherGuy82 said:
As if Blackwell had no role in the loss. He played well but if the problem is everyone else doesn't that also imply he might not be good enough to carry the team.

Go chase your dreams. Just a strange thing to say publicly.
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I don't know if I would trust a source calling himself "Dr. Mike Hawk".....just sayin'
 


Gophers recruited him out of HS. Committed to NE, decommitted, committed to TX, then transferred to Georgetown and then to Tulane.
 


Ski-U-Ham said:

From Columbia Heights. FDU ➡️ Utah ➡️ ?
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Wow, he knows how to score. 3pt% only 32%. At Columbia heights he kind of went under the radar. Utah was very bad last year, wonder what his stats would look like with a more balanced team
 

Spottedmuskie said:
Name rings a bell, did we offer him out of HS?
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I don't think so, he didn't have much interest as far as I can tell. I think people here had interest when he decided to transfer from FDU last spring, still don't know if the Gophers officially showed interest at that point.
 

Ski-U-Ham said:
I don't think so, he didn't have much interest as far as I can tell. I think people here had interest when he decided to transfer from FDU last spring, still don't know if the Gophers officially showed interest at that point.
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He was referencing the OSU guy Cupps that is transferring. I don't remember his name before.
 


GopherGuy82 said:
As if Blackwell had no role in the loss. He played well but if the problem is everyone else doesn't that also imply he might not be good enough to carry the team.

Go chase your dreams. Just a strange thing to say publicly.
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In his defense I don't know that he really said anything publicly. Sounds like that info came second or third hand and filtered through the agent.

But hey....I am all for anything that makes Wisconsin look bad in any way, and he is a good player so glad he won't be back with the Badgers next year.
 



Lot of reasons he wouldn't fit here (C depth if Vaihola is back, injury, $$) but he'd be close to the top of the pile for me. Played a on stacked Florida squad but I think in the right system he will be a monster.
 




Spottedmuskie said:
Wow, he knows how to score. 3pt% only 32%. At Columbia heights he kind of went under the radar. Utah was very bad last year, wonder what his stats would look like with a more balanced team
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He was a volume scorer. His effective field goal percentage was .486. We had 7 guys above that mark on our team. He was the leading scorer on a bad team but I guess somebody had to be that.
 

TwistingMyMelon said:
He was a volume scorer. His effective field goal percentage was .486. We had 7 guys above that mark on our team. He was the leading scorer on a bad team but I guess somebody had to be that.
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So....... would you want him here?
 

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