I think the parity we saw grow over the last 20 years is now going to go the other way. You will likely have 7 NCHC/Big Ten and one ECAC in the final eight.
If we say there are like 10 teams that will make up 75% of the final eight most years, the Gophers are likely in the bottom half of those 10 teams right now because of the lack of NIL and slow CHL adoption setting us back two to three years. Gonna be tough but I think unfortunately for fans of the other teams it's gonna be much worse come tourney time.
Let's see if Kato can prove me wrong today.
can't say i agree. There will be some of them on a year-to-year basis, but there's too much talent in the game now with both young and older CHL players.
UMD is not swimming in NIL. Wisco is not either. WMU has a little. Providence took McQueen but got dunked on by QU who has a handful of midround picks.
We saw BU and BC look mediocre despite their budgets. UConn outplayed MSU pretty badly for a large part of the game yesterday. Merrimack outplayed UND for the entire 3rd and a chunk of the 2nd.
There's a reason the 18-19 year old BU kids struggled against older grinding teams. I don't think it's going to change much of the parity side, but you're going to further incentivize the shitty hockey none of us want to see with heavy clutch and grab and trap
Nothing has really changed the last 5 or so years. the 2021 post COVID year is really the last time you saw plentiful dogs make it (UMD, UMass, Kato, SCSU). 2022 had Kato, MN, DU, Mich, 23 had MN, BU, Mich, QU, 24 had Mich, DU, BU, BC, 25 BU PSU, WMU, DU.
There was that little run in 13-15 where we had some weird teams (particularly 13). But the 14 year was Union with MN, ND, and BC with 15 being Providence with BU, UND, and Omaha (super strange regional for Omaha with Harvard, Kato, and RIT and then they got drilled by Providence at the FF)
There's typically 1-2 non blue bloods who are pretty good every year and generally you get maybe one who sneaks through. Just a matter of if they win the games when they're there knowing their cycles are not going to be every year. Your title winners are still by and large going the same. Just have added some teams to the regular cycling you didn't have more recently (MSU, PSU) coupled with the non-blue bloods who have currently really good coaches (WMU, QU).
Same as college hockey has always been. The lower tier will still team build in the same ways. I get what you're saying about some top teams clustering more talent, but I think it may just change the names slightly rather than skew to the top any more than it has in the past.