Getting Bubblicious With It

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SelectionSunday

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Starting today and leading up to Selection Sunday, I'll post (mostly) daily "Bubblicious" reports with a list of game(s) impacting the bubble. Champsionship Week begins Sunday.

Bubblicious Monday (light slate)
#45 North Carolina (@ Florida State) -- current status = last 4 in
#54 Nebraska (Michigan) -- current status = above the bubble

The Huskers (17-10, 7-9 B1G) currently sit just above my bubble with games remaining vs. the Wolverines, Gophers, @ Ohio State, and Iowa. Win 2 & the Huskers will be in decent shape heading to the Big Ten Tournament, win 3 and they'll be a virtual. lock.
 
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Does pulling off the win against Michigan clinch a bid for Huskers? Very possible at home but I would not bet on it.
 

Holy Man said:
Does pulling off the win against Michigan clinch a bid for Huskers? Very possible at home but I would not bet on it.
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In my opinion not clinch it, but it is the most important game left on the schedule. Win that one + 1 of the other 3 & their resume will look just fine compared to most bubble teams. The win @ Creighton is huge.
 

Bubblicious Tuesday
#30 Baylor @ #46 Cincinnati
#40 Georgia (Florida)
#74 TCU @ #48 West Virginia
#52 Santa Clara (Gonzaga)

Georgia and Santa Clara with huge resume opportunities tonight, both at home. Santa Clara has to have it, pretty much toast with a loss.

Baylor and West Virginia currently sitting above the bubble, but should start getting nervous if they lose tonight.
 



Bubblicious Wednesday
#35 Ohio State (@ USC)
#39 Texas @ #40 Arkansas
#41 SMU (@ Cal)
#43 Vandy (@ Texas A&M)
#47 Boise State (Utah State)
#50 Villanova (@ Seton Hall)
#51 Oklahoma (Kentucky)
#56 Indiana (Penn State)
#62 San Francisco (@ Oregon State)
#64 Wake Forest (Virginia)

My eyes are focused on Boise State and San Francisco tonight. Absolute must wins for the Broncos and Dons. These are a pair of “sleeper” bubble teams, but they both have to keep winning. SF has to get this one in advance of its huge home game vs. Gonzaga to end the regular season.

Texas/Arkansas (obviously) has major implications.
 

Bubblicious Thursday
#38 (current Big West leader) UC-San Diego (@ Cal State Northridge)
#64 UC-Irvine (@ Cal State Fullerton)

A UC-Irvine loss would knock the Anteaters off my at-large board for good.
 

Bubblicious Saturday
#31 Baylor (Oklahoma State)
#37 Georgia @ #39 Texas
#40 Arkansas (@ South Carolina)
#41 Vandy (Mizzou)
#42 SMU (@ Stanford)
#43 Boise State (@ Fresno State)
#45 North Carolina (Miami)
#46 West Virginia (@ BYU)
#47 Cincinnati (@ Houston)
#50 Oklahoma (@ Ole Miss)
#51 Villanova (Butler)
#52 Xavier (Creighton)
#54 Nebraska (Minnesota)
#56 Indiana (@ Washington)
#60 San Francisco (Gonzaga)
#64 UC-Irvine (Long Beach State)
#70 Wake Forest (Notre Dame)

My game of the day: Gonzaga @ San Francisco. If the Dons beat the Zags, it's time to start considering the Dons a legitimate at-large candidate, especially with all the junky, major-conference bubble teams.
 
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Does bad loss by SMU to Stanford drop them from the field?
 


Really, really ugly performance by Texas today in their bubble matchup with Georgia. It will be interesting if that job opens how it compares to Indiana. It seems like we say the bubble is weak every year, but this year it feels especially weak (and I probably say that most years to be fair). Not to derail the thread, but it seems like such a low bar to just make the tournament and this will be our 6th year sitting home in a row.
 



Is the bubble getting weaker because talent is getting consolidated in the pay for play environment? Before, limited scholarships and limited playing time may have directed players to programs they could see the floor. Now they can sit on the bench collecting a nice paycheck.
 

Holy Man said:
Is the bubble getting weaker because talent is getting consolidated in the pay for play environment? Before, limited scholarships and limited playing time may have directed players to programs they could see the floor. Now they can sit on the bench collecting a nice paycheck.
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Imagine when it goes to 76 next year. Ben's 6-14 team might be on the bubble.
 

Excellent (and I mean excellent) bubble slate tonight.

Bubblicious Tuesday
#32 Baylor @ #69 TCU
#33 Georgia (@ South Carolina)
#56 Nebraska @ #36 Ohio State
#47 Arkansas @ #37 Vanderbilt
#41 SMU (Syracuse)
#42 Boise State (@ Air Force)
#43 North Carolina (@ Virginia Tech)
#46 Texas (@ Mississippi State)
#48 West Virginia (@ Utah)
#51 Villanova (@ Georgetown)
#54 Indiana (@ Oregon)
#58 Colorado State (San Jose State)
#68 Dayton (Saint Louis)

Notes
Huskers vs. Buckeyes in a true bubble battle. The loser is in a world of hurt.

Vanderbilt earns "lock" status with a win tonight.

West Virginia becomes a "near lock" with a win tonight.

Colorado State, Dayton, TCU, Villanova, and perhaps SMU removed permanently from at-large consideration with a loss tonight.
 

Bubblicious Wednesday
#42 Cincinnati (Kansas State) -- Bearcats current status = longshot
#49 Xavier (@ Butler) -- Musketeers current status = on the bubble/out
#50 Oklahoma (Mizzou) -- Sooners current status = on the bubble/out
#73 George Mason (La Salle) -- Patriots current status = longshot
 

Bubblicious Thursday
#63 UC-Irvine (@ UC-Davis)

Feeling like a courtesy that I still have UCI on the "longshot" at-large board, but for now I'll keep them on life support.
 

Bubblicious Saturday
#31 Baylor (Houston)
#32 Georgia (#44 Vanderbilt)
#35 Ohio State (@ #55 Indiana)
#38 North Carolina (Duke)
#39 Arkansas (Mississippi State)
#40 Texas (#50 Oklahoma)
#41 Utah State (Air Force)
#46 SMU (@ Florida State)
#47 Xavier (Providence)
#49 West Virginia (UCF)
#51 San Diego State (Nevada)
#62 UC-Irvine (@ UCSB)
#72 Wake Forest (Georgia Tech)
 


Holy Man said:
Thanks for the updates Hodger. While I am not a marriage counselor, I do wonder what your wife may be thinking as you are engaging the internet at 1:30 in the morning. 🤔😂
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My lovely bride is in Florida (on vacation) for some warm weather, while I'm in Sioux Falls (on vacation) for some basketball. Our prenuptial didn't involve money, but it included an understanding that she needed Florida a few times per year and I needed March (OK, maybe November-March) every year "to do my thing". It works great for both of us!
 

Holy Man said:
Is the bubble getting weaker because talent is getting consolidated in the pay for play environment? Before, limited scholarships and limited playing time may have directed players to programs they could see the floor. Now they can sit on the bench collecting a nice paycheck.
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I think it’s because all the Quad 1 games exist in the SEC/B1G. It’s become silly at this point. It’s become even more clear with our season in particular highlighting the absurdity. Then we somehow saw a good amount of parity in the NCAA tournament (and NIT with Ind St) regardless of the importance of so called Quad 1 wins. Just my humble opinion.
 
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